Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis
Liu, LC; Fan, Y; Wu, G; Wei, YM
2007
Source PublicationENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
Volume35Issue:11Pages:9,5892-5900
AbstractBased on time series decomposition of the Log-Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), this paper analyzes the change of industrial carbon emissions from 36 industrial sectors in China over the period 1998-2005. The changes of industrial CO2 emission are decomposed into carbon emissions coefficients of heat and electricity, energy intensity, industrial structural shift, industrial activity and final fuel shift. Our results clearly show that raw chemical materials and chemical products, nonmetal mineral products and smelting and pressing of ferrous metals account for 59.31% of total increased industrial CO2 emissions. The overwhelming contributors to the change of China's industrial sectors' carbon emissions in the period 1998-2005 were the industrial activity and energy intensity; the impact of emission coefficients of heat and electricity, fuel shift and structural shift was relatively small. Over the year 1998-2002, the energy intensity change in some energy-intensive sectors decreased industrial emissions, but increased emissions over the period 2002-2005. The impact of structural shift on emissions have varied considerably over the years without showing any clear trend, and the final fuel shift increased industrial emissions because of the increase of electricity share and higher emissions coefficient. Therefore, raw chemical materials and chemical products, nonmetal mineral products and smelting and pressing of ferrous metals should be among the top priorities for enhancing energy efficiency and driving their energy intensity close to the international advanced level. To some degree, we should reduce the products waste of these sectors, mitigate the growth of demand for their products through avoiding the excessive investment highly related to these sectors, increasing imports or decreasing the export in order to avoid expanding their share in total industrial value added. However, all these should integrate economic growth to harmonize industrial development and CO2 emission reduction. (C) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
KeywordIndustrial Co2 Emission Energy Intensity Change Industrial Structural Activity
Subject AreaEnergy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000250545300062
Citation statistics
Cited Times:276[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.casisd.cn/handle/190111/4811
Collection中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所(1985年6月-2015年12月)
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Liu, LC,Fan, Y,Wu, G,et al. Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2007,35(11):9,5892-5900.
APA Liu, LC,Fan, Y,Wu, G,&Wei, YM.(2007).Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis.ENERGY POLICY,35(11),9,5892-5900.
MLA Liu, LC,et al."Using LMDI method to analyzed the change of China's industrial CO2 emissions from final fuel use: An empirical analysis".ENERGY POLICY 35.11(2007):9,5892-5900.
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